HQ Limit?

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HQ limit?
サーバ: Asura
Game: FFXI
Posts: 56
By Asura.Luckyseven 2016-12-17 10:02:19  
Maybe I'm a noob.. No wait, I'm a noob I know..


Yesterday I noticed something weird.
I was crafting Cursed Celata. I had 48 synths and at the 11th synth I got a HQ, then at synth 15 I got another and another one again at 17, then it all stopped.

The next 31 synths did not yield a HQ. I've never had this many synths in a row with no HQ, which makes me wonder.

Is there a cap on how many HQ you can get from high level items per day / week / month?

Or was I just unlucky?

Anyone been in a similiar situation?
サーバ: Asura
Game: FFXI
user: Demmis
Posts: 980
By Asura.Chiaia 2016-12-17 10:31:41  
Well seeing how its a Tier 1 with a 1/16~ (6.25%) chance making 3/48 is right where you are suppose to be. Some days you get lucky and others you don't. You broke even but got lucky your first 15 synths netted your 3 HQs.

I believe there is no cap on the amount of HQ you can craft period but I have no statistical data on this to prove it but in this case I believe it falls on the believers that there is a cap to bring proof to the table.

Anyway here is some mathy stuff for you to look at if you care to.
Binomial Probability Distribution

Binomial Calculator

P.S. - I've had days I've went 5/20 on a T1 and days I've been 0/50.
サーバ: Odin
Game: FFXI
user: Llewelyn
Posts: 2072
By Odin.Llewelyn 2016-12-17 11:30:42  
Think my worst streak on a T1 was 1/80 or so on an Irenic Strap +1 and for T0, my current streak of 0/130 on Chirich Ring +1.

But yeah, 3/48 on a T1 isn't anything to get worried about.
サーバ: Leviathan
Game: FFXI
Posts: 1578
By Leviathan.Celebrindal 2016-12-17 11:43:45  
It's accepted that you need REALLY big numbers to get the agreed upon percentages for HQ rate. Even 50 synths is low. 500 synths is a good start to get a feeling for the hq rates of a T1,but thankfully, data was compiled over years by multiple players in the beginning of crafting to expose the tiers and the rates.
サーバ: Asura
Game: FFXI
user: Reiden
Posts: 50
By Asura.Reidden 2016-12-17 11:44:33  
Well I normally do 108 synths when I craft cursed voodoo gear. Usually get about 6-7 -1.
サーバ: Asura
Game: FFXI
user: Capsules
Posts: 18
By Asura.Chipmunkys 2016-12-17 14:33:58  
I always enjoy making 2~3 Voodoo Cuirass's out of ~15 attempts.
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