Random Politics & Religion #13

Oh boy he doesn't know Spanish, what a clueless idiot.

contra-
prefix
1. against; opposite; contrasting.
"contradict"

I'm shocked!

SHOCKED!


...okay, not that shocked.

......okay, not shocked at all.

*looks at calendar*

Only two weeks left until we get to have contentious recounts and accusations of fraud and/or voter intimidation!

I CAN'T WAIT.

*fist pump*

Should have been pretty obvious. Polling is a tool used to sway votes.

And then after the accusations of fraud, full-on treasonous armed rebellion which the military will put down in a glorious bloodbath!

Only two weeks left until we get to have contentious recounts and accusations of fraud and/or voter intimidation!

Its not even Spanish. Contra means against in ENGLISH!

According to Reuters, the "rigged election" message is resonating with the party's voters. Couple that with these lovely Podesta emails, and you'd better believe that there's a load of crap about to hit the fan.

Only in your dreams.... Which is sad, because nobody should be excited about the prospect of a civil war in the first place. If you are thrilled about murdering opposition in a massive bloodbath, then you are worse than any of groups you so often name.

Maybe he thought she was talking about the game : https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Contra_(video_game)

He is a staunch supporter of Hillary, I'm sure he has no problem with Civil Wars.

According to Reuters, the "rigged election" message is resonating with the party's voters. Couple that with these lovely Podesta emails, and you'd better believe that there's a load of crap about to hit the fan.

I'm not exactly trying to defend CJ here, but your layering of fallacies isn't helping.

The voter fraud thing bothers me because people don't really understand the numbers involved to make fraud happen the way it's being described by people like Rudy Giuliani. It's patently ridiculous...

...especially when Trump is basically out there calling for people to go and intimidate people voting against him.

So it doesn't really matter how the vote ends up, someone is going to be crying either way.

That said, I really think you're giving the e-mail thing a bit too much weight. If people haven't changed their minds already, they're not going to barring a serious level of *** being brought to light that makes everything we've seen from either candidate look like a game of checkers.

Oh YES! And when Hillary wins with over 200 electoral college votes Trump and his supporters will hit the streets armed to the teeth to overthrow the government.

Then Hillary will let the tanks roll, round them all up, put them in the FEMA concentration camps, and charge them all with TREASON!

BWHAHAHAHA!!!!

(Did I get the laugh right Nicky?)

The voter fraud thing bothers me because people don't really understand the numbers involved to make fraud happen the way it's being described by people like Rudy Giuliani. It's patently ridiculous...

...especially when Trump is basically out there calling for people to go and intimidate people voting against him.

So it doesn't really matter how the vote ends up, someone is going to be crying either way.

That said, I really think you're giving the e-mail thing a bit too much weight. If people haven't changed their minds already, they're not going to barring a serious level of *** being brought to light that makes everything we've seen from either candidate look like a game of checkers.

As for the emails, They do contain a lot information that could really sway voters away from Hillary but they aren't getting nearly enough coverage.

A leaked Podesta email contains an attachment with very specific instructions on how to manipulate polling so that certain groups are oversampled, thus skewing media polling to benefit Democrats.

Oversampling

For some surveys, it is important to ensure that there are enough members of a certain subgroup in the population so that more reliable estimates can be reported for that group. To do this, we oversample members of the subgroup by selecting more people from this group than would typically be done if everyone in the sample had an equal chance of being selected. Because the margin of sampling error is related to the size of the sample, increasing the sample size for a particular subgroup through the use of oversampling allows for estimates to be made with a smaller margin of error. A survey that includes an oversample weights the results so that members in the oversampled group are weighted to their actual proportion in the population; this allows for the overall survey results to represent both the national population and the oversampled subgroup.

For example, African Americans make up 13.6% of the total U.S. population, according to the U.S. Census. A survey with a sample size of 1,000 would only include approximately 136 African Americans. The margin of sampling error for African Americans then would be around 10.5 percentage points, resulting in estimates that could fall within a 21-point range, which is often too imprecise for many detailed analyses surveyors want to perform. In contrast, oversampling African Americans so that there are roughly 500 interviews completed with people in this group reduces the margin of sampling error to about 5.5 percentage points and improves the reliability of estimates that can be made. Unless a listed sample is available or people can be selected from prior surveys, oversampling a particular group usually involves incurring the additional costs associated with screening for eligible respondents.

Advocacy groups are urging US regulators to consider blocking AT&T's purchase of Time Warner Inc., but AT&T may be able to avoid any review by the Federal Communications Commission.

The merger will be analyzed by the Department of Justice, but AT&T has said the FCC will be involved only if any FCC licenses are transferred to AT&T. A TV station is an example of something that requires an FCC license, but AT&T said that it and Time Warner are still "determining which FCC licenses, if any, will be transferred to AT&T in connection with the transaction."

The reason for this uncertainty is that "despite its big media footprint, Time Warner has only one FCC-regulated broadcast station, WPCH-TV in Atlanta," Reuters reported. "Time Warner could sell the license to try to avoid a formal FCC review, several analysts said." ...

Last I checked, the only one looking to start another Civil War is Trump. He's one of two major party candidates and he's holding out the promise of being able to openly commit treason to his supporters if his supporters don't get their way. Unfortunately, his supporters forget that treason is still a crime punishable by death in this country, and if Hillary wins, she's the CinC and can order the tanks to roll against any treasonous Trump insurgents. The U.S military would have an "open season" permit to bag as many Trumpanzees as they can, no questions asked.

BWHAHAHAHA!!!!

(Did I get the laugh right Nicky?)

To some people he's simply the GOP candidate and they're going to support the GOP on principle and that's all there is to it.

however... keep in mind that democrats outnumber us and could have won every election since 1960 by simply turning out...

Except no.

Hey, when can we meet? I also want to get your Atlas folks to recommend oversamples for our polling before we start in February. By market, regions, etc. I want to get this all compiled into one set of recommendations so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.

so we can maximize what we get out of our media polling.